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Media Integrity > Published by Will Straw, February 26th 2010 at 4:02 pm

Tories stir the pot on early election

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There’s been a lot of chatter on the Internet today about whether there’ll be an election on March 25th. But there is no basis in the rumours which are merely an attempt by Conservative HQ to drum up interest in their spring conference and paint the Prime Minister as a ditherer.

After the polls narrowed again last night, speculation increased of a March 25th election. At 9.33 this morning, Conservative Home editor Tim Montgomerie tweeted, “I’ve just been txted that Ladbrokes have suspended betting on March election”. An hour later, Iain Dale stirred the pot with an article titled “Is Brown Marching His Troops Up the Hill (Again)?” While at 11.20, Guido Fawkes wrote:

Gordon’s has never recovered from the election-that-never-was in Autumn 2007 because he allowed the speculation to go on too long. The Tories are secretly praying he holds off until May, as are the media whose well planned agendas would have been a total waste of time. Bookies have stopped taking bets on March 25th. If Gordon doesn’t make a move to confirm or quell the hype it will be Bottler Brown all over again.”

The mainstream media then picked up the thread with City AM political editor, David Crow, tweeting “Lots of rumours at Westminster that brown about to call an election. Top Tories have cancelled all meetings.” This was re-tweeted by Guardian Deputy Editor, Ian Katz who commented “That wd be inconvenient”.

But there are five reasons why we’re still heading for May 6th:

1. Announcing an election over the weekend would sabotage the passage of key pieces of Government legislation including Harriet Harman’s Equality Bill; the Constitutional Reform and Governance Bill which includes provisions to set up the Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority and for a referendum on electoral reform; and the Child Poverty Bill which will entrench in law the Government’s commitment to eradicating child poverty by 2020.

2. The Labour party is carrying on as normal. This weekend they’re launching a clever social media tool called “Take a Long Hard Look at the Tories“. It’s the kind of thing that will excite Labour’s netroots and twitterati but is hardly election campaign launch material.

3. Council elections in London, all the metropolitan boroughs, and some unitary authorities will take place on May 6th regardless. Labour is hoping to win back many of the seats they lost in 2006 with the election increasing the turnout. The party would also struggle to fight two elections in six weeks.

4. Calling a March 25th election would result in criticism that Labour had avoided either both holding a Budget and facing the Q1 growth figures which come out in late April.

5. The Tories have been trying to stir it up. As well as Iain Dale’s intervention, Sam Coates from Tory social media team tweeted at lunch “The parliamentary rules on what happens when the election is called, if you’re interested: http://j.mp/aLzAzc”

Now I may end up with egg on my face but my advice is: don’t believe the hype.

  • http://twitter.com/andy1120/status/9683933274 AndyG

    RT @leftfootfwd Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/houseoftwits/status/9684020865 House Of Twits

    RT @leftfootfwd Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/jaqi/status/9684099310 jaqi

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/conorpope/status/9684162855 Conor Pope

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/daryn_mccombe/status/9684213521 Daryn McCombe

    RT @Conorpope: RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/jamescowley/status/9684226179 James Cowley

    RT @leftfootfwd: Tories stir the pot on early election http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/tramontana_ii8/status/9684273716 Little miss Gobby

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/amolrajan/status/9684274652 amol rajan

    RT @leftfootfwd Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/bevaniteellie/status/9684292299 Ellie Gellard

    YES! RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it'll be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • topsy_top20k

    Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/nikdarlington/status/9684332257 Nicholas Darlington

    RT @BevaniteEllie: YES! RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it'll be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/bencooper86/status/9684345187 Ben Cooper

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/novocastrianrob/status/9684349508 novocastrianrob

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://cowley4labour.blogspot.com James Cowley

    Another Tory tactic destined for failure. They are callously clutching at straws, hoping one of them will be long enough to plug the hole in their poll collapse.

    As scrutiny increases on the Tories, all the rot begins to show.

  • http://twitter.com/pickledpolitics/status/9684475268 sunny hundal

    Yup. Buty it won't help them RT @leftfootfwd: Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it'll be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/gjcsouthsea/status/9684511958 Gareth Colwell

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/matthewwells/status/9684684059 Matt Wells

    An early election? Left Foot Forward gives five reasons not to believe the rumours http://twurl.nl/2v1f1h

  • http://twitter.com/adamvaughan_uk/status/9684769631 Adam Vaughan

    RT @MatthewWells: An early election? Left Foot Forward gives five reasons not to believe the rumours http://twurl.nl/2v1f1h

  • http://twitter.com/shamikdas/status/9684774027 Shamik Das

    The Tories would rather talk about anything other than policy: RT @leftfootfwd: Tories stir the pot on early election http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/lmwalter/status/9684787453 Luke Walter

    RT @shamikdas: The Tories would rather talk about anything other than policy: RT @leftfootfwd: Tories stir the pot on early election http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/tommilleruk/status/9684881969 Tom Miller

    RT @shamikdas: The Tories would rather talk about anything other than policy: RT @leftfootfwd: Tories stir the pot on early election http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/soothomas/status/9685026427 Sue Thomas

    Policies all over the place so digging dirt & making up stories RT @leftfootfwd: Tories stir the pot on early election http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/paul0evans1/status/9685413682 Paul Evans

    guido really is Dave's hitman isn't he? http://bit.ly/9Yas3X

  • http://twitter.com/andrewsparrow/status/9685563998 AndrewSparrow

    Good piece on @leftfootfwd on why there won't be an early election – http://bit.ly/c5BooO

  • http://twitter.com/charliewhelan/status/9686022406 charlie whelan

    Early election started as joke and still is RT @AndrewSparrow @leftfootfwd on why there won't be an early election – http://bit.ly/c5BooO

  • http://www.theorator2009.blogspot.com The Orator

    Get that egg ready for your face, sonny Jim…

  • http://twitter.com/tristanosborne/status/9686810162 Tristan Osborne

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/psbook/status/9687829200 Political Scrapbook

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/bloggerheads/status/9687836749 Tim Ireland

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://twitter.com/jenweb/status/9688208295 jenweb

    RT @leftfootfwd: Don't believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE

  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/billy_blofeld Billy Blofeld

    I hope there is an early election. I’ve had more than enough of listening to ministers telling lies, spinning and deceiving people.

    Hopefully, during the course of the election, the public at large will also start to realise how badly Gordon has destroyed the economy. Hearing Gordon tell us he has done a good job is puke inducing. He’s been an unmitigated disaster.

  • http://www.breakingnewsonline.org/india-news/election-commission-announces-polling-dates-for-state-elect/ Election commission announces polling dates for state elect | Breaking News Online Portal

    [...] Tories stir a pot upon early election | Left Foot Forward [...]

  • http://www.ubervu.com/conversations/www.leftfootforward.org/2010/02/tories-stir-the-pot-on-early-election/ uberVU – social comments

    Social comments and analytics for this post…

    This post was mentioned on Twitter by leftfootfwd: Don’t believe the hype: the Tories are stirring the pot on an early election but it will be May 6th http://cli.gs/WZhWE...

  • http://twitter.com/thedancingflea/status/9691192403 Claire Spencer

    I agree with @wdjstraw – join @charlottetwitts and I in eating @henrymacrory's hat if the election *isn't* on May 6: http://bit.ly/c5BooO

  • http://twitter.com/paul_kreitman/status/9692989078 Paul_Kreitman

    RT @charliewhelan: Early election started as joke and still is RT @leftfootfwd on why there won't be an early election http://bit.ly/c5BooO

  • http://twitter.com/john_fellows/status/9723239118 John Fellows

    ReadingList: Tories stir the pot on early election: There’s been a lot of chatter on the Internet today about whet… http://bit.ly/cpSZ03

  • http://www.markpack.org.uk/general-election-date-the-thing-i-dont-understand/ General election date: the thing I don’t understand… | Mark Pack

    [...] here's a rather good set of reasons from Left Foot Forward why there won't be an election before May 6. Share with [...]

  • http://carons-musings.blogspot.com Caron

    You forgot number 7 – Labour has no candidates in a fair few held seats, Ashfield, Edinburgh South, Kilfoyle’s, Tommy Macavoy’s and several more where MPs have decided to step down at the last minute.