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Left Foot Forward > Published by Shamik Das, March 4th 2010 at 5:46 pm

Poll trends suggest Labour victory

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The Conservative lead in 60 key marginals is down to just two points, a YouGov poll for Channel Four News has found. The poll, carried out in the 60 constituencies that Cameron needs to win an overall majority, sees the Tories on 39 per cent and Labour on 37 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats on 15 per cent.

A seperate analysis of 37 polls this year, carried out by Left Foot Forward – using data from UK Polling Report – shows that, on current trends, Labour is set to overtake the Conservatives in the week of the election, widely predicted to be May 6th.

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Today’s C4 News poll results also reveal Gordon Brown is ahead of David Cameron on who is “best equipped to lead Britain out of current economic difficulties”, with Cameron also trailing Brown on whether the government should begin cutting the deficit this year and three-quarters of voters saying the Tory leader is “not much change or worse”.

  • http://twitter.com/lefty_lisa/status/9983339831 Lefty Lisa

    RT @leftfootfwd Poll trends suggest Labour victory: http://cli.gs/ALjhY >> cld the improvement in the polls mean that I am a bad luck charm?

  • http://twitter.com/duncanstott/status/9983354698 Duncan Stott

    I knew this was coming RT @leftfootfwd: Poll trends suggest Labour victory: http://cli.gs/ALjhY not how real life works

  • http://twitter.com/houseoftwits/status/9983413653 House Of Twits

    RT @leftfootfwd Poll trends suggest Labour victory: http://cli.gs/ALjhY

  • matt robson

    Hitler’s thoughts on Cameron’s chances:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BimSZ6ozDj4

  • http://twitter.com/iancarnegie/status/9984007165 Ian Carnegie

    RT @leftfootfwd Poll trends suggest Labour victory: http://cli.gs/ALjhY

  • http://twitter.com/goodoldmj/status/9984772092 Martin Johnston

    RT @leftfootfwd: Poll trends suggest Labour victory: http://cli.gs/ALjhY

  • http://twitter.com/toques/status/9987379939 Gareth Young

    RT @leftfootfwd: Poll trends suggest Labour victory http://cli.gs/ALjhY

  • Liz McShane

    Hopefully Robert Mugabe’s backing of the Tories will further help to guarantee a Labour victory in May 2010!

    http://www.africasia.com/services/news/newsitem.php?area=africa&item=100304172200.gpnano9b.php

  • http://twitter.com/paul0evans1/status/10016365218 Paul Evans

    Wondering if the Tories can hold the chasm between the centre and their grassroots if this poll is true http://tinyurl.com/ykqy6at

  • http://www.leftfootforward.org/2010/03/politics-summary-friday-march-5th/ Politics Summary: Friday, March 5th | Left Foot Forward

    [...] (up 1) and the Lib Dems on 15% (up 2). A seperate analysis of 37 polls this year, carried out by Left Foot Forward yesterday, shows that, on current trends, Labour will overtake the Conservatives in the week of the [...]

  • http://www.leftfootforward.org/2010/03/look-left-the-week-in-fast-forward-05-03-10/ Look Left – The Week in Fast Forward | Left Foot Forward

    [...] The narrowing of the polls and reactions to Cameron’s spring conference [...]

  • http://leonjwilliams.wordpress.com Leon J Williams

    I don’t want to see Labour win but I would rather 4 more years of them than have the tories in power.

  • http://twitter.com/charlesbarry/status/13732563718 Charles Barry

    @ukelectionnight From the archives – another crime against statistics: http://bit.ly/9jPaXy