Eric Pickles’ cuts target Britain’s poorest areas

The Government is fond of claiming that “We’re all in this together”. But even taking Eric Pickles’ ‘transition grant‘ into account, it is abundantly clear that the poorest areas will do worse out of this settlement.

Left Foot Forward has carried out a simple econometric analysis of the local government cuts and compared the post-transition grant “change in estimated ‘revenue spending power’ 2011-12” with the 2007 index of multiple deprivation – the last analysis available. The figures speak for themselves.

In London, there is a strong correlation between the two variables. Poor areas like Hackney (-8.9%), Newham (-8.9%), Tower Hamlets (-8.9%), and Islington (-8.8%) find themselves with the deepest cuts while richer areas like Richmond (-0.61%), Havering (-1.71%), and Harrow (-1.9%) are best off.

The x-axis covers the index of multiple deprivation (50 is the most deprived area) while the y-axis covers the percentage fall in ‘revenue spending power’.

A similar pattern takes place in metropolitan areas. Here Manchester, Liverpool, South Tyneside, and Knowsley get take the maximum hit of -8.9% while less deprived areas like Solihull (-3.49%), Dudley, (-3.39%), and Trafford (-3.79%) do far better.

UPDATE 18.41:

It has been pointed out to me that the local government figures include NHS support for social care. If this were excluded the picture would be even more stark.

http://twitter.com/jordanbhall/status/14379324002009090 Jordan Hall

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/pastyface43/status/14379366972653568 kate

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/bristolpaul/status/14379456852393984 Paul Smith Bristol

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/brianfmoylan/status/14379500808708097 Brian Moylan

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I #bigsociety #cuts #cutswatch #ukpolitics
http://twitter.com/redrector/status/14379571939905536 Fr Paul Butler

Tory Poilcies for inequality! Resist the Cuts! RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/timdouglashr/status/14379764907249664 Tim Douglas

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/aaronjohnpeters/status/14381297606590464 Aaron Peters

RT @ajrhayman: Leftwing blog Left Foot Forward has revealing analysis of cuts VS deprivation . poorest hit hardest http://bit.ly/fSK3Ch …
http://twitter.com/marcschmid/status/14381533053849600 Marc Schmid

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/redrector/status/14381808925810689 Fr Paul Butler

@jazzifull 2day's I'm just off out but Council Cuts R totally unequal & therefore divide & promote inequality. http://bit.ly/dLzTuJ
PCornell

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC and the same for NELC already very deprived
http://twitter.com/john_hf/status/14381937208594432 John Hickey-Fry

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/wdjstraw/status/14381992950894592 Will Straw

@BBCMichaelCrick Take a look at this piece showing that poorest are hardest hit by Pickles' cuts http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/lukeakehurst/status/14382060953141248 Luke Akehurst

RT @ajrhayman: Leftwing blog Left Foot Forward has revealing analysis of cuts VS deprivation . poorest hit hardest http://bit.ly/fSK3Ch …
http://twitter.com/benfolley/status/14382278125821952 Ben Folley

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/eddyanderson/status/14382325307547648 Eddy Anderson

RT @wdjstraw @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC << Scandalous
http://twitter.com/mr_pukeko/status/14382403556478977 Matt Jeffs

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/new1deas/status/14382655344742401 New Ideas

Eric Pickles' devastate poor areas while leaving affluent areas unscathed. http://bit.ly/dTBtmC #dayx3 #solidarity #ukuncut
http://twitter.com/anubeon/status/14382875021418496 Lee Hyde

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/bencooper86/status/14382982273966080 Ben Cooper

RT @eddyanderson: RT @wdjstraw @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC << Scandalous
http://twitter.com/jimdhinks/status/14383044974608384 Jim Hinks

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/clairee_french/status/14383242253705216 Claire French

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/dan1763/status/14383456100286466 Dan Smith

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/tonybovaird/status/14383701097975808 Tony Bovaird

Cuts to council revenue spending power strongly correlated with level of deprivation – poor cut most- http://bit.ly/gjxG3I Via @leftfootfwd
http://twitter.com/dailydenouement/status/14384778115551232 Clare

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/georginarannard/status/14386150512787456 Georgina Rannard

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/leonora1/status/14387112992313344 Jane Ennis

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/wildejunkie/status/14387123008315392 Katie Treacy

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/tomchigbo/status/14387138078445568 Thomas Chigbo

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/szeitblom/status/14387423605690369 Serenus Zeitblom

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/dkmead/status/14387916100861952 Darren Mead

RT @dailydenouement: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I -
http://twitter.com/jkblacker/status/14388242145091584 Josh Blacker

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/jenniviitanen/status/14390339351609344 Jenni Viitanen

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/tobyblume/status/14391477568282624 toby blume

RT @ajrhayman: Leftwing blog Left Foot Forward has revealing analysis of cuts VS deprivation . poorest hit hardest http://bit.ly/fSK3Ch …
http://twitter.com/ukcuts/status/14392708256759809 cutsandgrazes dotcom

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/samlewis/status/14393570400145408 Sam Lewis

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/uppo1963/status/14398310844473344 Ian Upton

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/anpa2001/status/14399163693268992 R Gordon

RT @Uppo1963 RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I < important – graphs say it all
13eastie

Please would you post a similar graph with an index of waste and poor tax-payer value-for-money on the x-axis.
http://twitter.com/brassiclint/status/14399528950038528 Dave Winter

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/malarky67/status/14400678491328512 StephenH

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/iextract/status/14400835131809792 MD-G

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/eiohel/status/14404684106170368 Miljenko Williams

Coincidence? What do you think? RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/jnnfrmckiernan/status/14407280447455232 Jennifer McKiernan

We're all in this together. Oh really, Pickles?http://www.leftfootforward.org/2010/12/eric-pickles-cuts-target-britains-poorest-areas/ #fb
http://twitter.com/tomchigbo/status/14409002284752896 Thomas Chigbo

How on Earth can govt justify cutting Hackney, Newham and Tower Hamlets by 8.9% while sparing Richmond with only 0.61%? http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/hannahsmith4/status/14409884636286976 Hannah Smith

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/octave21/status/14410963948146688 Robert Dixon

How on Earth can govt justify cutting Hackney, Newham and Tower Hamlets by 8.9% while sparing Richmond with only 0.61%? http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/jonrogers1963/status/14414280069742592 Jon Rogers

http://bit.ly/i1b6ec Tories bash the poor again. Back to the 80s (only now with the Lib Dums on the side of the Thatcherites) #UKUncut
http://twitter.com/danrees/status/14418070479044608 Daniel Rees

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/mike_wiltshire/status/14429734226104320 Mike Wiltshire

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/mike_wiltshire/status/14429814605746176 Mike Wiltshire

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://revolutiononhold.wordpress.com/ Pete Kennedy

Conservatives cut spending in poorest areas shocker.
http://twitter.com/hazico_jo/status/14440844085956608 Hazico_Jo

RT @wdjstraw: @BBCMichaelCrick Take a look at this piece showing that poorest are hardest hit by Pickles' cuts http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
Mr. Sensible

The ‘Localism’ agenda proposed by Eric Pickles is no more or less than a big con.
http://twitter.com/nickhillard/status/14448660628635648 Nick Hillard

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas – has left me scratching my head… http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/cllrkrichards/status/14455591057489920 Kevin Richards

Is this economics or just pure victimisation – RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/oasis_of_truth/status/14457604730257408 Oasis Caretaker

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/parkeriana/status/14457790890254336 Ian Parker

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/taxthefatcats/status/14464262118313984 Tax The Fat Cats

Same old nasty party – Council cuts to poor areas around 9% / Cuts to rich areas around around 1.5% http://bit.ly/gjxG3I #Pickles #UKuncut
http://twitter.com/edcox_ippr/status/14476365021581312 Ed Cox

@tobyblume @benatipsosmori @caulfieldr – numbers crunched by leftfoot forward – http://j.mp/fPGGEh
http://twitter.com/somerandomhash/status/14480901262024704 Ed Kelly

RT @edcox_ippr: @tobyblume @benatipsosmori @caulfieldr – numbers crunched by leftfoot forward – http://j.mp/fPGGEh
http://twitter.com/wendwearyway/status/14482733107511296 wendy porrill

RT @wdjstraw: All in this together? Not if you live in a poor part of London, Grt Manc or Merseyside. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/johannhari101/status/14487344711204864 Johann Hari

The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/tenpercent/status/14487630649499648 TenPercent

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/dis_ppl_protest/status/14487870123286529 DisabledPeople

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/missmorven/status/14487953942253568 Morven Christie

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/josies_/status/14487958237220864 Josie S

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/falseecon/status/14488002608758784 False Economy

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/aaronjohnpeters/status/14488173082050560 Aaron Peters

RT @FalseEcon: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftf …
http://twitter.com/bintypenguin/status/14488213435453440 BintyPenguin

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/andydiggle/status/14488298772766720 Andy Diggle

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/groovy23/status/14488308759396353 Carl Attard

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/elganjohn/status/14488406784475136 elgan

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/gregory_white/status/14488449595744256 Gregory White

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/veganpanda/status/14488507976253440 Vegan Panda

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/theotherzoe/status/14488677161893888 Zoe Holder

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/cllrstevereed/status/14488789158203392 Steve Reed

RT @johannhari101: The Tory LibDem cuts announced today hit poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/gavinmbarber/status/14489406408761344 Gavin Barber

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/missmorven/status/14490068999733248 Morven Christie

oh, I live in a million pound house Richmond. I can park my gas guzzling childkilling BMW jeep for a fiver a year. http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/thewineyard/status/14491154359787520 Ben Hodgkinson

Interesting RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/robin_intheuk/status/14492271600730112 Robin Dalton

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/samtarry/status/14493728903274497 Samuel Tarry

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/rtvwow/status/14494164175560704 David Jackson

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
Frill

Would you kindly go away and do that last graph again? Or at least remove that line of ‘best fit’? An R squared value of less than 0.8 implies you just stuck that line on for the sake of it.
http://twitter.com/lukehmu/status/14495056849281024 Luke

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/simonhowes/status/14495599890006016 Simon Howes

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/mediaactivist/status/14495726612520960 Jay Baker

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/l_meo/status/14495938974318592 Little Metamorphic O

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/kenanmalik/status/14496455708385280 Kenan Malik

'We're all in it together'. Yeah right: http://bit.ly/fPGGEh (via @leftfootfwd)
http://twitter.com/maeveytresh/status/14499815102619648 Maeve Treasure

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/amancalledprak/status/14500248625876993 Daniel Onions

RT @kenanmalik: 'We're all in it together'. Yeah right: http://bit.ly/fPGGEh (via @leftfootfwd)
http://twitter.com/jacobsanders1/status/14505716517699585 Jacob Sanders

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/vkk999/status/14505942183841792 Varun Kesar

RT @FalseEcon: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftf …
http://twitter.com/lyndsayva/status/14510569998520323 Lyndsay Vaughan

“@johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward”
http://twitter.com/bigtatty/status/14553453397282817 eleanoradivargas

RT @kenanmalik: 'We're all in it together'. Yeah right: http://bit.ly/fPGGEh (via @leftfootfwd)
http://twitter.com/bigtatty/status/14553494254002177 eleanoradivargas

RT @simonhowes: RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/bigtatty/status/14553517222002689 eleanoradivargas

RT @SamTarry: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfo …
http://twitter.com/bigtatty/status/14553530404708352 eleanoradivargas

RT @TheWineyard: Interesting RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/perfitlady/status/14570726044475392 Maria

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://greenwedge.org/ banflaw

Do they ‘target’ Britain’s poorest areas out of opposition to the redistribution of wealth or out of vindictiveness towards the poor — or are these distinguishable?
http://twitter.com/adpucci/status/14573778558263296 Pucci Dellanno

RT @johannhari101: Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward – @noUKcuts
BenM

Feeling skewered 13eastie?
http://twitter.com/djdaddums/status/14577901697499136 Mark Martin

"@johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward"
http://twitter.com/davidianskinner/status/14578380296953856 David Skinner

Once again spending cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dSjufE
http://twitter.com/chrice/status/14580615689019392 Chris Plowman

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/dcb72/status/14581159287586817 Damien Briggs

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/roseynorth/status/14582105002475520 David

@leftfootfwd shows poorest areas worst hit by CLG cuts: http://j.mp/fPGGEh – @lgcplus stats w/out NHS soc care £s shows how dire 4 Teesside
http://twitter.com/drpollyd/status/14583075161776128 Polly Dickerson

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/wheatear9/status/14584937403392000 Phil Whittaker

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/kitbailey/status/14585310176346112 Kit Bailey

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/geedee86/status/14586800450306048 Gareth Douce

RT @SamTarry: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfo …
http://twitter.com/johnomics/status/14587042755248128 John Davey

RT @FalseEcon: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftf …
http://twitter.com/annatwigg/status/14588229143502848 anna twigganna

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/charliechar/status/14589736693792768 Charlie Phillips

RT @FalseEcon: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftf …
http://twitter.com/dexyssoulrebel/status/14592523943022592 martin tennant

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/odhran2/status/14592815019331584 Odhran Mc Alinden

RT @cllrstevereed: RT @johannhari101: The Tory LibDem cuts announced today hit poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent …
http://twitter.com/invisibledot/status/14594832433422337 Stephen Crowe

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/alexjansenbirch/status/14595127863418880 Alex Jansen Birch

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/traceystreet/status/14595150374240256 TraceyStreet

RT @RedLadderTheatr: RT @johannhari101 The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @ …
http://twitter.com/sarahelainech/status/14595739132887040 Sarah Chalmers

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/yrotitna/status/14596977694085120 Juan Voet

RT @FalseEcon: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftf …
http://twitter.com/carlbaker/status/14597573427863552 Carl Baker

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/tzcttwit/status/14598817630396416 Tzcttwit

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/impleri/status/14599114746503168 Christopher Roussel

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/liberallabour/status/14599748816216064 LiberalLabour

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/darrenjohnsonam/status/14603574306676736 Darren Johnson

Thanks @leftfootforward for analysis of how Government cuts are hitting poorest areas hardest http://bit.ly/fm73iV #ukcuts #unison
http://twitter.com/roseynorth/status/14604246854934528 David

Via @leftfootfwd poor areas worst hit by #localgov cuts http://j.mp/fPGGEh – full cuts(-NHS s/care £s) truly dire 4 Teesside @lgcplus shows
http://twitter.com/fletchersimon/status/14607100902637568 Simon Fletcher

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/roomyverse/status/14607385196756992 Roomyverse

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/bloomsburyrose/status/14612964401217536 Adam Harrison

RT @LeftFootFwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/michellelgraham/status/14614975578374144 Michelle Graham

RT @kenanmalik: 'We're all in it together'. Yeah right: http://bit.ly/fPGGEh (via @leftfootfwd)
http://twitter.com/eduardosuarez/status/14615359600463872 eduardosuarez

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/joehmusic/status/14616458252263424 Joe Hesketh

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/plymouthgreens/status/14616930732212224 Plymouth Greens

RT @DarrenJohnsonAM: Thanks @leftfootforward for analysis of how Government cuts are hitting poorest areas hardest http://bit.ly/fm73iV …
http://twitter.com/robinlayfield/status/14629139831066624 robinlayfield

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/balleramstedt/status/14629946764828672 Balle Ramstedt

Is anyone really surprised? RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
13eastie

@BenM LOL!

ZaNuLabour commissioned a political report every few years (at tax-payers’ expense) and used it to justify throwing money at friendly councils and potential Labour voters for its own electoral gain.

Afterwards it becomes clear (unsurprisingly) to others that these areas might offer the best prospects for efficiency savings.

“Data” presented by LFF is not independent – it was commissioned by Labour; LFF has cherry-picked a couple of dozen data points from almost 400; IMD is simply a New Labour construct; the indices themselves are not designed to give a quantitative indication of relative deprivation and are only “useful” for creating a rank order; the trend-line is bound to show a linear relationship if you ask the software for a linear regression; the IMD is being used in such a way that as to imply that the scale from 0-50 encompasses the entire range of deprivation from Auschwitz to Utopia – it obviously does not (on a global scale of relative deprivation all localities in the UK would score almost equally and be close to the best off), but to recognise this would be to destroy the R-squared value on the charts; the scoring criteria and weightings are arbitrary; the “measurements” are from 2005; and, most importantly of all, LFF has ignored completely the rates of absolute spending per head.

Excepting the foregoing I’m feeling totally skewered!
http://twitter.com/c_quigley/status/14639210547908608 Christine Quigley

RT @fletchersimon: RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/ken4london/status/14641407658565632 Ken Livingstone Team

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/maybin6/status/14642487163363328 Paul Maybin

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/ladyloki/status/14643136995270656 Niki Rosenbaum

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/pccm2/status/14645213226074113 Peter Marshall

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/scouser_andy/status/14645419682299904 Jimmy Corkhill

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/jambuc33/status/14645667125264384 Jim Buckley

RT @leftfootfwd: @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/markberry/status/14645906892652544 Mark Berry

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
Will Straw

13eastie – Madness:

(1) The analysis yesterday was not commissioned by the Labour party, we did it off our own back.

(2) We have not “cherry picked a couple of dozen data points” but looked at all London boroughs (Chart 1) and all Metropolitan areas (Chart 2). Given Britain’s bizarre local government structure it wouldnt make sense to lump all LAs in together.

(3) The Index of Multiple Deprivation may have been created by a Labour government but what’s your point. It is calculated independently by academics at Oxford University.

(4) We used data from 2007 (not 2005) because it’s the last year for which data is available. We’re due a new series in 2010 but the Government appears to be delaying its publication. I can’t guess why.
http://twitter.com/lewgreenparty/status/14661083071516673 Lewisham Green Party

RT @DarrenJohnsonAM: Thanks @leftfootforward for analysis of how Government cuts are hitting poorest areas hardest http://bit.ly/fm73iV …
13eastie

Will,

1) If you were actually to read my post, you would see that I stated that your “data” was commissioned by Labour, which it was. It certainly would not have been my intention to imply that your “econometric” analysis was anything but amateur…

2) What you have done is exactly cherry picking: geographically; sociologically; statistically. It’s slap-dash spin. You have also misused the data in a manner that is warned against explicitly in the DCLG’s own document, “Using the English Indices of Deprivation 2007″. Your misappropriation of the data is disingenuous, as is the deliberate conflation of poverty with deprivation in your title.

3) My point is that IMD is a party-political construct with a party-political function; it is not widely adopted; it is entirely unproven as an aid to policy, and it will remain so since (as qualified in the accompanying notes):

>> “The ID 2007 scores and ranks cannot be used as absolute measures of deprivation or to identify absolute change over time.”.

4) Again, were you actually to read the report, you would note that, on almost every other page, it makes pains to remind the reader that the data to which it owes its derivation is no more recent than 2005.
http://twitter.com/revheath/status/14665217023680513 Heather Cracknell

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/lavacollective/status/14695604110237696 LAVA Collective

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
Valueofnothing

hmmm might be worth doing a logit regression with the independent variable being the size of the cut and the dependent variable being 1 if council is tory/liberal/tory liberal coalition and 0 otherwise.
I bet that would give a good fit! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logit_regression
13eastie

@Valueofnothing

No it wouldn’t.

First, Labour are in control of only a tiny number of local councils.

Second, this continues to ignore the absolute level of LA spending per capita in these places. How can this not be relevant in determining where cuts can be afforded?
http://twitter.com/londonhazards/status/14718167075004416 London Hazards

RT @FalseEcon: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftf …
http://twitter.com/june4th/status/14722255888056320 Noxi

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/tonydowling/status/14730284150820864 Tony Dowling

RT @June4th: RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfoo …
Valueofnothing

I was talking about a divide between tory/liberal/tory liberal coalition councils and all other councils. So my other group would be much bigger than labour controlled councils as it would contain lab=lib coalitions and lab-independent coalitions. I guess though you would have to take this for the whole country to give sufficient sample size.
http://twitter.com/nextleft/status/14766000582959104 Sunder Katwala

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/ironiet/status/14766134356086785 Anna Dan-SamyLehrer

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/teresasmisc/status/14778640260665345 TeresaMary

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
http://twitter.com/jjarichardson/status/14783249444241409 Jacob Richardson

RT @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/gjxG3I
BenM

13eastie

LoL!

“ZaNuLabour”! ZZZzzzzzzz

The rest of your post is drivel.
http://twitter.com/catslikefelix84/status/14807866116415488 Thomas Staunton

RT @johannhari101: The Tory cuts announced today hit the poorest areas hardest: http://bit.ly/gjxG3I via excellent @leftfootforward
http://twitter.com/wdjstraw/status/15017653554905089 Will Straw

@MichaelWhite Cut in W. Oxfordshire is -5.89% compared to -8.9% in many poorer inner city areas. http://bit.ly/dLzTuJ #pmqs
http://twitter.com/jonchapple/status/15036936687190017 Jon Chapple

About time someone cut Tower Hamlets' (Islamic Repub'c of) budget – @leftfootfwd: Eric Pickles' cuts target poor areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/valshawcross/status/15042240703373312 Valerie Shawcross

RT @gaetanlondon: RT @leftfootfwd @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/dts1970/status/15043633602367488 Danny Strickland

RT @gaetanlondon: RT @leftfootfwd @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/kerryabel/status/15045270970564609 Kerry Abel

RT @leftfootfwd Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/connollykaren/status/15048905502760960 Karen Connolly

RT @gaetanlondon: RT @leftfootfwd @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/fmallinson/status/15060431420792832 Francis Mallinson

RT @gaetanlondon: RT @leftfootfwd @ValShawcross Please RT – Eric Pickles' cuts target Britain's poorest areas http://bit.ly/dTBtmC
http://twitter.com/andrea_urbanfox/status/15113438338486272 © AndreaUrbanFox

RT @TaxTheFatCats Same old nasty party – Council cuts to poor areas around 9% /rich areas around 1.5% http://bit.ly/gjxG3I #UKuncut #tory
mark

This analysis is ingenuous. The revenue spending power incorporates a measure of wealth, so clearly is inversely related to deprivation index
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2010/12/eric-pickles-council-cuts-lies/ Local authorities face much higher cuts than Pickles claimed | Left Foot Forward

[...] Left Foot Forward revealed that the coalition’s cuts to local government would hit Britain’s poorest areas the [...]
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2010/12/look-left-17-12-10/ Look Left – Wikileaks saga comes to town as Assange tastes fresh air | Left Foot Forward

[...] a few days to be fully realised. First and foremost, the cuts hit the poorest areas the hardest, as revealed by Left Foot Forward (see Evidence of the week below for further [...]
New Labour Boy

Labour supporters and/or supporters of the concept of public sector delivered local services need to organse and closely monitor the effect of the cuts upon key frontline services durig the next 4/5 years. All the jargonista, graphs and predictive theorising is no substitute for observation and measurement in the real world. I retired from an essential professional regulatory frontline LA Service 18 months ago. Prior to my retirement, and, in pre Pickles and Shapps times, we had already not replaced 4 Officers who had moved to other jobs, nor were we recruiting graduate trainees; my vacant post has not been filled, so the staffing level is now 50% lower than in 2006/7 with no prospect of fresh young talented Officers being mentored and trained to replace ageing staff. Extrapolate that scenario across all LAs and the 2015 landscape looks bleak; ours is not a service which can be provided by “volunteers”, it is statutory, and Officers have to be professionally trained and qualified.
Liban Awad

I can report to you bloggers that my local council have have already started to cut libarery services, playgrounds are not improved. Its quite simply put, that the coalition want the youth of today to kill each other.
http://jaomahony.wordpress.com/2011/01/18/tory-cuts-target-liverpool-again/ Tory cuts target Liverpool – again | Jennifer O'Mahony : Journalism & Opinion

[...] was during the 1967-1971 session. It is hard not to assume this is why Liverpool will receive the maximum 8.9% cut to its local government funding, whereas a wealthy authority like Richmond-on-Thames will [...]
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/02/manchester-cuts-in-context/ Time to move away from spreadsheets and look at the real impact of the cuts | Left Foot Forward

[...] deep-seated poverty and the highest need are the worst affected, as shown in this straight-forward analysis on Left Foot Forward by Will [...]
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/02/tory-council-chiefs-attack-eric-pickles/ Now even Tory council chiefs have a go at Pickles | Left Foot Forward

[...] last December, Will Straw revealed that the government’s cuts to local authorites would unfairly target Britain’s poorest [...]
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/05/manchester-voters-see-red-over-cameron-clegg-council-smears/ Manchester voters see red over Cameron, Clegg council smears | Left Foot Forward

[...] was taken to vital services people rely on, and worse still, it was poorer councils that faced the heaviest cuts. The solution: Smear the local Labour administrations as ‘politically-motivated’, [...]
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/07/david-cameron-broken-promise-31-sure-start-centres-closed/ Another broken Tory promise: 31 Sure Start centres have already closed | Left Foot Forward

[...] keeping with coalition ideology, the cuts to Sure Start funding, the NS reveals, are hitting the poorest areas the [...]
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/08/how-pickless-brutal-council-tax-benefit-reforms-will-pulverise-the-working-age-poor/ How Pickles’s brutal council tax benefit reforms will pulverise the working-age poor | Left Foot Forward

[...] the top ten of losers per dwelling. In cutting funds for local government, it has been shown that the government has hit poorer areas the hardest, and this reform is set to exacerbate the [...]