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Sustainable Economy > Published by Will Straw, March 23rd 2011 at 1:48 pm

Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed

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Ed Miliband’s response to the Budget focused heavily on the OBR’s downgrading of the growth figures from 2.6% last June to 1.7% in the Budget. But Osborne failed to mention a further piece of bad news: the OBR anticipates an additional 130,000 people will be unemployed in 2012.

Table C2 of the June Budget estimated that the claimant count would be 1.5 million in 2011, 1.4 million in 2012, and 1.3 million in 2013. The revised figures in Table C1 of today’s Budget – reproduced below – estimate that the claimant count will be up 40,000 in 2011, up 130,000 in 2012, and up 130,000 in 2013.

Detailed-summary-of-OBR-central-economic-forecast-Labour-market

Meanwhile, the ILO measure of unemployment jumps 0.2% in 2011, 0.5% in 2012, and 0.6% in 2013.

So much for a Budget for jobs and growth.

  • http://twitter.com/funtimeharesy/status/50554784851300352 Christopher Hares

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/frankspring/status/50554829180907520 Frank Spring

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/mirrorjames/status/50554834075664384 JamesLyons

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/jos21/status/50554838660030464 Jos Bell

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/jordannewell/status/50554851750457344 Jordan Newell

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/merseymal/status/50555026585812992 MerseyMal

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/bitfuzzy/status/50555333315264512 Deb

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/richardhincks/status/50555611682840576 Richard Hincks

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/cllriangilbert/status/50556114156273664 Ian Gilbert

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/gaemar01/status/50556557687140352 Gael

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/andyprg/status/50558991889203200 Andrew Griffiths

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/dPjLnB #budget

  • http://twitter.com/n5_1bu/status/50559059211988992 Just Another Gooner

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/djdaddums/status/50559119958081536 Mark Martin

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/stuartalder/status/50559151864156161 Stuart Alder

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/lucahelvetica/status/50559477367316480 LucaHelvetica

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/bucktaylor64/status/50559483562307584 Andy Buckley-Taylor

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/redtrainers/status/50559816615211008 Jon Squires

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • william

    Are we saying unemployment would not have increased under Labour?What have we got to say about ‘no more boom and bust’which half of every focus group brings up?What if these policies work and there is a pre election 2014 announcement of’tax cuts if reelected’?

  • http://twitter.com/lone5/status/50560065517780992 Average Joe

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/andy_s_64/status/50560534118014978 Andy S

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/williamtheb/status/50561436463804416 Abaris

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/stephenwesman/status/50564277131685888 stephen wesley

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/frdragonspouse/status/50565780047269888 Jill Hayward

    RT @sunny_hundal: Good spot by @wdjstraw – Osborne buries bad news of predictions of extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/gxWn3Y what …

  • http://twitter.com/jordanbhall/status/50565865799819264 Jordan Hall

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • JoshC

    “Are we saying unemployment would not have increased under Labour?
    Comment by william”

    I believe we’re saying that in 9 months since Osborne’s first Budget to ‘save the economy’ the economic situation has degraded and 130,000 extra people will be unemployed next year than was predicted in June 2010.

  • Anon E Mouse

    JoshC – Clearly you have no idea with economics and recessions.

    Then again you were probably one of the idiots that believed Britain’s worst chancellor and most unpopular Prime minister in history, Gordon Brown had ended Boom and Bust or that selling the gold at a historic low was a good thing.

    All that Will Straw has done here is to take a single point that may favour his position then argue it to death. The left always do it when faced with failure as Labour clearly are by the chancellor’s budget.

    “Boy George” has played a blinder and everyone knows it – that’s why Will isn’t discussing the points in his speech.

    Can there have been a single serious supporter of the Labour Party that wasn’t watching Ed Miliband’s response and realising he has as much chance of winning a general election as Elvis…

  • http://twitter.com/sean_gittins/status/50576177605246976 Sean Gittins

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://thoughcowardsflinch.com/2011/03/23/a-reaction-to-the-osbornes-growth-budget/ A reaction to the Osborne’s growth budget « Though Cowards Flinch

    [...] As Will Straw spotted today “the OBR anticipates an additional 130,000 people will be unemployed in 2012.” Does the government expect SMEs to be able to cater jobs for all those extra unemployed people? [...]

  • Simon Landau

    I thought Mouse was just a Colonel Blimp figure harrumphing in his bath house. I was wrong. He thinks politics (like Giddy O.) is just about votes and the power to ride in ministerial cars. The point about the government’s policies is that they deliberately raise unemployment and cut the mass of people’s living standards. The government think it is a price worth paying and so does Mouse.

  • http://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/50588136270610432 Alastair Campbell

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/lucianaberger/status/50589771453575168 Luciana Berger

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/brokenofbritain/status/50589893532991489 Broken OfBritain

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/brokenofbritain/status/50590048709652480 Broken OfBritain

    Many, many thanks to @SocietyGuardian @guardian for the continuing support of #TBofB … Really means a lot to us…. http://fb.me/y6uZ5J4U

  • http://twitter.com/dollymixture/status/50590054023835648 dolly daydream

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/annastasia1/status/50590375143948288 Annastasia

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/rapunzelrobot/status/50590815361318912 Rapunzel Rapunzel

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/spsot/status/50591197630185472 Spir.Sotiropoulou

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/yrragkcirrem/status/50592110864375808 Garry Merrick

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/stevenlbell/status/50592409880502272 Steven Bell

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/top_tw_politics/status/50593067526397952 Top Politics Tweets

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/redperil68/status/50596650728685568 Jens Carr

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • Anon E Mouse

    Simon Landau – As an ex-serviceman I turned down a commission twice because I really am not fond of the elite nature of the officer classes – perhaps Private Blimp may be more appropriate?

    The governments policies are designed to reduce the biggest deficit this country has ever been left with outside WW2 and the blame for that lies at the heart of the Labour Party – they ran a deficit from 2001 onwards whilst telling lies about stopping the economic cycles of capitalism.

    This coalition has also reduced the number of ministerial cars so you are wrong on that point as well.

    You also have no idea if I think unemployment is a price worth paying so please be truthful and do not smear me Simon.

    Like a lot of Labour supporters you don’t like the fact what I’m saying about the stupid union imposed leader on the party is true…

  • http://twitter.com/maughan/status/50599653976178688 Deborah Jones

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/mohmoh7/status/50602773837922304 mohamadu Daouda

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/nickbloke/status/50603160015863808 Nick H.

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/26mjw/status/50604598834114560 Matt Wallace

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/yorkierosie/status/50606830291922944 yorkierosie

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/hopefulvoter/status/50609664534126592 Peter Neal

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/liam_1993/status/50609780569550848 .

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/aaronjohnpeters/status/50610710127976449 Aaron Peters

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/rattlecans/status/50612857993297920 Ma

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/ngt67/status/50616317660774400 Nigel Toye

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/top_tw_news/status/50617236930572288 top_tw_news

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/samtarry/status/50620757310586880 Samuel Tarry

    RT @unitetheunion: RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/dPjLnB

  • http://twitter.com/frdragonspouse/status/50621929899565058 Jill Hayward

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/petebowler/status/50623414226001920 Pete Bowler

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/envoycozens/status/50631951744368640 Mark Cozens

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/ipswichcab/status/50633235704725504 IpswichCAB

    OBR estimate unemployment claimant count will be up 40,000 in 2011, up 130,000 in 2012, and up 130,000 in 2013 ~ http://tinyurl.com/6gp9jkt

  • http://twitter.com/falseecon/status/50638008881385472 False Economy

    RT @leftfootfwd Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130k unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw #falseeconomy

  • http://twitter.com/paddymageeuk/status/50638427896549376 Patrick Magee

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/neilrfoster/status/50638652866445312 neilrfoster

    RT @FalseEcon: RT @leftfootfwd Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130k unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw #fal …

  • http://twitter.com/desabled/status/50639058526945280 mikeknoth

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/roderickiwalker/status/50640618384392192 Rod Walker

    RT @FalseEcon: RT @leftfootfwd Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130k unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw #fal …

  • http://twitter.com/robbelaw/status/50643086820388865 Robert Law

    RT @FalseEcon: RT @leftfootfwd Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130k unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw #fal …

  • http://someblog.co.uk/?p=228 This was not a Budget for growth, this was a half baked consolation. | Some Blog

    [...] in the media are those concerning employment. As Leftfootforward so brilliantly uncovered in this piece earlier today [...]

  • http://someblog.co.uk/?p=240 This was not a Budget for Growth, this was a half-baked unapolgetic consolation. | Some Blog

    [...] in the media are those concerning employment. As Leftfootforward so brilliantly uncovered in this piece earlier today – “Osborne failed to mention a further piece of bad news: the OBR anticipates [...]

  • http://twitter.com/gnomeicide/status/50666227009466368 Cab Davidson

    RT @FalseEcon: RT @leftfootfwd Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130k unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw #fal …

  • http://twitter.com/rincewinduk/status/50667959131181056 Mike Ranscombe

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • jonnyprice

    A few points:

    1. Budget decisions can take a year to have any impact on growth figures. Today’s figures are due to the decisions made by the previous government.

    2. Surely VAT has had to rise to 20 per cent to pay back what was lost when it was cut to 15 per cent?

    3. How can Labour blame the cuts for stalling growth when nothing has been cut yet?

  • Mr. Sensible

    Tonight, my local Tory MP said this in her email newsletter:
    “I have avoided the party political spiel as to the state of the country’s finances…”

    Now we know why…

  • http://twitter.com/psbook/status/50694770334511104 Political Scrapbook

    130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/ericpickled/status/50695745648590848 Eric Pickled

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/2me2you2me/status/50696190223843329 2me2you

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/iain_31/status/50696378720063488 Iain

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/sheffharry/status/50696555862306816 Harry Harpham

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/beccyken/status/50696776008744961 Beccy Kennedy

    RT @leftfootfwd: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/efWFuX reports @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/alexsmith1982/status/50697379288064001 alexsmith1982

    130,000 more unemployed: @WDJStraw gets into Osborne's figures: http://bit.ly/g3B9Of

  • http://twitter.com/gemmatumelty/status/50698616620318720 Gemma Tumelty

    RT @alexsmith1982: 130,000 more unemployed: @WDJStraw gets into Osborne's figures: http://bit.ly/g3B9Of

  • http://twitter.com/littlemslabour/status/50698665802743808 Melissa Morris

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/bevaniteellie/status/50698781871718401 Ellie Gellard

    #HurtingNotWorking RT @alexsmith1982 130,000 more unemployed: @WDJStraw gets into Osborne's figures: http://bit.ly/g3B9Of

  • http://twitter.com/celticchickadee/status/50698855058124800 isla dowds

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/topperfalkon/status/50698903632347137 Harley Faggetter

    RT @BevaniteEllie: #HurtingNotWorking RT @alexsmith1982 130,000 more unemployed: @WDJStraw gets into Osborne's figures: http://bit.ly/g3B9Of

  • http://twitter.com/itsmotherswork/status/50700232933117952 Itsmotherswork

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/caspertk/status/50701398324682753 Casper ter Kuile

    RT @alexsmith1982: 130,000 more unemployed: @WDJStraw gets into Osborne's figures: http://bit.ly/g3B9Of

  • http://twitter.com/micpayne/status/50702426478620673 Michael Payne

    RT @gemmatumelty: RT @alexsmith1982: 130,000 more unemployed: @WDJStraw gets into Osborne's figures: http://bit.ly/g3B9Of

  • http://twitter.com/myinfamy/status/50705683426971648 Daniel Pitt

    Thanks, Mr Osborne: 130,000 more unemployed http://bit.ly/g3B9Of #ConDemNation via @wdjstraw

  • http://twitter.com/myrcnan/status/50709844256243712 Mat Hill

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • http://twitter.com/myrcnan/status/50709953287163904 Mat Hill

    RT @psbook: 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://t.co/Fp9r3f1 (from @wdjstraw)< #ukpolitics

  • http://twitter.com/theoriginalcuse/status/50824499985264640 Craig Cusack

    RT @psbook 130,000 extra unemployed. Three cheers for Gideon! http://bit.ly/g3B9Of (from @wdjstraw)

  • Anon E Mouse

    jonnyprice – Absolutely correct on the cuts. In social services in South Wales there will be no cuts to children’s services and in fact no one actually knows of any real cuts – just speculative rumours and the unions trying to justify their existence by scare mongering.

    Thatcher claimed to be cutting public services and wasn’t and it seems to me that this is almost a rerun of the 1980′s.

    The unions will be shouting and marching. Labour will be becoming more and more desperate – especially with their flawed leader and the Tories will quietly preparing for the next general election as this budget shows…

  • scandalousbill

    Jonnyprice,

    You ask:

    “How can Labour blame the cuts for stalling growth when nothing has been cut yet?”

    For this statement to be true you would have to demonstrate that consumer spending is a collective description of mass spur of the moment whims. This would perhaps apply to the purchase of a Mars bar, but not for larger ticket items such as an automobile, new cooker, etc. Consumer confidence, on the other can and does have a forward looking component, and can last longer than the events which have engendered its lowering.

    It has been argued that the stimuli provided by the previous government has run its course, and with a stagnant economy and lack of government supplied incentives to consumer spending, (the budget provided specific incentives for business costing, not new business i.e. sales promotion, such as the previous government in the case of the auto industry, consumer spending has, and will continue in the short term at least, to flounder.,

  • http://twitter.com/right_to_work/status/50861099456794624 Right To Work

    Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed: http://bit.ly/ic0dJs

  • Anon E Mouse

    scandalousbill – This is a budget to win the next general election – not one designed to be popular in the short term.

    Leave aside the (relatively) poor poll leads (Blair jumped Labour’s popularity up by 21%) Labour have every possibility of being ahead by at least 20% within the year…

    And they will still lose the next election. Not just because the cuts aren’t believable. Not just because of having a leader no one will vote for but because irrespective of the governments popularity, Margret Thatcher who was extremely unpopular (not to Gordon Brown’s historic low level obviously) still won election after election.

    It is no good Labour keep saying how good the leader is and it is just an extension of their blind support for Brown.

    The public are not stupid scandalousbill and until Labour start admitting their mistakes they will remain unelectable – it’s time to ‘fess up and move on…

  • http://twitter.com/tyokischild/status/50874162411085824 Dominic Ellison

    Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed http://bit.ly/hvl5A9

  • http://twitter.com/112233ddd/status/50881151748943872 Deyan Marconny.

    RT @Right_To_Work: Osborne buries bad news as OBR predicts extra 130,000 unemployed: http://bit.ly/ic0dJs

  • scandalousbill

    Anon,

    You say:

    “This is a budget to win the next general election – not one designed to be popular in the short term.”

    While I would not dispute the likelihood that Cameron, Osborne and the Libdem hangers on fondly hope that all this negative Karma of rising unemployment, economic stagnation in continually downgraded growth estimates, inflation, etc. will all go away by the end of this parliament, I doubt that this budget will be a building block to their ongoing and rather dubious current electoral success. The Tories did not get a majority in the recent election despite the worst electoral circumstances that Labour could undergo. You continually berate Ed Miliband’s in electability, but overlook the fact that Cameron was and is no shining star.

    Osborne boasts that his reduction of corporate tax will stimulate business growth. I do not accept the automaticity that equates a location where profits are declared and were production is undertaken. I do not feel that the announced tax concessions will translate into business growth and greater employment. The cash gained from a lower tax on profits is just as likely, (I would even say more than likely), to simply be siphoned off by shareholders in the form of larger dividends as opposed to providing a cash reserve to hire additional staff. For me, business growth comes from maintaining existing orders and adding new business. Given the global situation, euro zone meltdown etc., it is difficult to see where this business will come from. As well, the announced support for new technologies has about the same relative significance as his money set aside to fill potholes.

    Secondly, there are a number of critical issues the Coalition has yet to address. The prime issue, in this context, for me, is the restructuring of the Banking sector. Do you think that the public you say you understand and champion will gleefully accept the return to the bonus culture, perseverance of the casino style system which largely got us into this mess if the forecasted 2% growth rate is achieved? If Project Merlin is any indication, the Tory coalition will have much to answer for.

    You must also consider that other proposed Tory Coalition policies, such as the NHS and local government restructuring, among others, may not be the howling success the Tories claim, The Big Society is a joke. The pain caused to a great many of the public will not soon be forgotten

    As for Labour, is it a matter of Mea Culpa or explanation of their actions? I think a bit of both. I believe that much of Labours economic spend did much to dampen the worst effects of the Global recession in the UK. On the other hand, the invasion of Iraq and Afghanistan were, for me, a needless drain of human lives and financial resources.

  • Anon E Mouse

    scandalousbill – I wouldn’t vote Cameron – too public school for me but he is in a different league to Miliband. With the exception of Tony Blair, who was a fantastic communicator – just brilliant, Cameron has to be one of the best MP’s I have seen for a long time and he ‘looks’ like a Prime Minister. Ed Miliband looks and sounds like a frustrated student debater.

    Regarding the chancellor. We have a bill on the interest alone of £120million a day that simply has to be paid back and anyway look at Ronald Reagan – he lowered taxes and launched America onto an upward trajectory and I believe, along with most serious financial commentators, that it will work here.

    Labour supporters need to see the big picture and just grow up. Socialism isn’t coming to the UK – it’s been rejected almost everywhere in the world – so anything involving big state stuff is a losing proposition.

    On the banks; does it matter to governments what the public think? We wouldn’t have gone to Iraq had that been the case and the politics of envy will only go so far. Making the bankers poorer will not make others richer. Besides which I want the banks to do well so when they are sold off and a profit is realised we will benefit.

    Four years from now you can see the giveaways already. That’s why I say it’s a budget for the long term.

    I don’t believe there will be as many cuts as they say and once the unions are on strike they will get the blame anyway – there’s history here. I was in favour of both Iraq and Afghanistan but in fairness being a massive Blair supporter I would have believed that the moon was made of cheese if he had said it was.

    I think there may be some agreement between us here on your other points but regarding Miliband I know a dud when I see one and if you’re honest scandalousbill so do you…

  • http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/03/look-left-2-03-11/ Look Left – Osborne fails to learn the lessons of history | Left Foot Forward

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