“Unrealistic assumptions”? Who is Mr Osborne talking about?
Yesterday George Osborne conceded the obvious that:
“…while we have all had to revise down our short term expectations over recent weeks, the only people who should be fundamentally re-examining their view of the world are those who thought that this time was different.
“Those whose plans depended on unrealistic assumptions of a rapid return to business as usual and a continuation of forgiving financial market conditions.”
He never named those he felt should be busy re-examining their view of the world.
So who are they? It can’t be the Labour party, the chancellor and shadow chancellor made the following statements following last year’s Q3 growth figures on October 26th 2010.
“The risk going forward is that the government has a plan to cut one million jobs, but no plan to support the private sector in replacing them. Yes, the deficit needs to be reduced – but it needs to be at a pace that the private sector can manage.”
With:
“Today’s figures show the economy continuing to grow, at double the rate the market expected and the fastest rate for the third quarter since 1999.
“Just like the second quarter, the growth is broadly based and the lion’s share is coming from the private sector. The ONS believe that the underlying growth in the third quarter was ‘broadly similar’ to the strong second quarter.
“This gives me confidence that although global economic conditions remain choppy, a steady recovery is under way.”
The second comment is obviously from Mr Osborne. It looks to me like Alan Johnson has been vindicated by yesterday’s speech. So who’s the person whose “plans depended on unrealistic assumptions of a rapid return to business as usual”?
It can’t be Osborne, because he restates his view that spending cuts will give us growth in the medium term (pace Keynes). Perhaps he’s talking about the Treasury? After last year’s:
“Treasury sources told the BBC… that talk of a double-dip recession had no basis in fact.”
Or is it the OBR?
Are they, for the fourth time, about to upgrade borrowing while they downgrade growth again?
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http://twitter.com/adpucci/status/111494922376445952 Pucci Dellanno
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http://twitter.com/cormacholly/status/111499463188688896 Cormac Hollingsworth
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http://twitter.com/cllrkrichards/status/111928914204557313 Kevin Richards
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http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/10/economic-crisis-gets-worse-spending-borrowing/ The crisis gets worse: For every £4 spending is cut, it only cuts borrowing 75p | Left Foot Forward
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“…while we have all had to revise down our short term expectations over recent weeks, the only people who should be fundamentally re-examining their view of the world are those who thought that this time was different.




