Tories may care deeply about Europe, but no one else does
While the Conservatives get themselves in a tizzy over the vote on whether there should be an in/out referendum on Europe, it is hard to overstate how irrelevant the vast majority of voters find the issue to their lives.
Over at Political Betting, Mike Smithson’s post on recent YouGov data shows that there are very few new votes for the Tories on the issue. Furthermore, looking at the Ipsos-Mori issues tracker data, it is clear that the general public simply don’t care about Europe.
As Smithson regularly points out, Ipsos-Mori provides particularly useful data, because it goes back decades, and respondents are asked “What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today?” – without categories being provided. There is no ‘push to a given answer’.
Taking a look at four issues - economy, unemployment, race relations/immigration and Europe, we can see that while over a third of those surveyed identified the economy, and both race relations/immigration score around ten per cent, the number of respondents who answer Europe is statistically insignificant:

It’s been that way for months:

There are good constitutional reasons for an in-out referendum on the EU: It is more than 30 years since the last one, the EU represents a significant transfer of power from Westminster and the situation is, everyone agrees, markedly different from that outlined in 1975.
However, as the Conservatives engage in turtuous internal wrangling over the issue, they may well just appear completely out of touch with what is worrying most people. Insisting all politics and policy lead back to Brussels – immigration and unemployment for example – will just make them look even more weird.
See also:
• How to create a Telegraph migration scare story – Matt Cavanagh, September 9th 2011
• Britain: Euroconfused not Eurosceptic – Joe Litobarski, March 17th 2011
• Labour policy review will consider case for an ‘in or out’ Europe referendum – Sunder Katwala, February 11th 2011
• Cameron misinformed on EU bailouts says top Tory – Chris Tarquini, December 17th 2010
• EU’s €3.4bn for diplomacy is value for money – Jon Worth, September 6th 2009
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http://twitter.com/danpoxton/status/127370292539564033 DanielPoxton
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http://twitter.com/danielelton/status/127375103485935616 danielelton
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http://twitter.com/danielelton/status/127375898260422657 danielelton
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http://twitter.com/danielelton/status/127376984031502336 danielelton
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http://twitter.com/danielelton/status/127377824003796992 danielelton
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http://twitter.com/danielelton/status/127377929482141696 danielelton
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http://twitter.com/abelardinelli/status/127378919233036289 Alex Belardinelli
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http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/10/public-attitudes-to-european-union-1990-2011/ Europe in or out – does the public really care? | Left Foot Forward
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http://twitter.com/paul0evans1/status/128504116459732992 Paul Evans
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http://twitter.com/ingridjohanna66/status/128504647341195264 Ingrid Wolfe
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http://twitter.com/glitterylou/status/128509760067747841 Louise Sian Gibbard
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http://twitter.com/catherinbrunton/status/128514398343008256 Catherine Brunton
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http://twitter.com/drkimholt/status/128532704277962753 kim holt
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http://twitter.com/aliceblundrland/status/128613009026322432 Alice in Blunderland
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http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/10/majority-of-conservative-european-rebels-from-class-of-2010/ Trouble ahead for Cameron: Majority of Euro rebels were from class of 2010 | Left Foot Forward
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http://www.leftfootforward.org/2011/10/commons-european-vote-not-david-cameron-clause-iv-moment/ Five reasons why Commons Euro vote is not Cameron’s Clause IV moment | Left Foot Forward
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