Author Archives: Duncan Weldon

Today’s labour market statistics: ‘the good, the bad and the ugly’

The ‘recovery’ in the wider economy is not being matched by rising real wages or rising living standards, instead the demand-constrained UK economy might be stumbling into a lower wage, lower productivity growth model with serious implications for living standards in the future.

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The weakness of the wider economy is catching up with the labour market

Whilst important not to read too much into one set of figures, it may now be the case that the weakness of the wider economy is catching up with the labour market.

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There is no disguising the fact: these are disastrous figures for the chancellor

Today’s figures from the ONS confirm that GDP fell by 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2012. Whilst the upward revision is obviously good news, there is no disguising the fact that these are disastrous figures.

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Wages and productivity falling despite positive unemployment figures

While the latest drop in the unemployment figures should be welcomed, real wages have now been falling in every month for the past three years.

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Bank of England throws in the towel on growth – where does this leave Osborne?

The Bank of England appears to have thrown in the towel on growth with the publication of the latest Inflation Report, but where does this leave the chancellor?

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Jobs stats no cause for celebration – things could, and should, be an awful lot better

Today’s labour market stats are no cause for celebration – things could be, and should be, an awful lot better.

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Is a rise in self-employment disguising unemployment?

For the last few months, the headline numbers have been good, but a detailed look at the figures gives plenty of cause for concern.

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Unemployment: Headline figures camouflage underlying picture of weakness

A recovery driven by part-time work and accompanied by falling living standards won’t feel like a recovery to most people, writes Duncan Weldon.

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Headline unemployment fall is good news, but underlying picture remains grim

The ‘recovery’ in the labour market over the most recent quarter has been characterised by part-time work and slowing wage growth; this is not good news.

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Employment figures mask the rise in under-employment

Duncan Wheldon argues that even the mediocre employment figures released today STILL overstate the positive news

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